| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) | |||
| Site | mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3LG38HB | |||
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/04.11.18.51 (acesso restrito) | |||
| Última Atualização | 2016:04.11.18.52.34 (UTC) simone | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/04.11.18.51.21 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2021:03.06.05.21.29 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.010 | |||
| ISSN | 0013-9351 | |||
| Chave de Citação | TejadaPinellDalCorLafOva:2016:DeScBo | |||
| Título | Deforestation scenarios for the Bolivian lowlands  | |||
| Ano | 2016 | |||
| Mês | Jan. | |||
| Data de Acesso | 28 abr. 2024 | |||
| Tipo de Trabalho | journal article | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE PI | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 6353 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Tejada Pinell, Graciela 2 Dalla Nora, Elói Lennon 3 Cordoba, Diana 4 Lafortezza, Raffaele 5 Ovando Leyton, Alex | |||
| Grupo | 1 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 3 4 5 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Royal Roads University 4 University of Bari 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 graciela.tejada@inpe.br 2 eloi.dallanora@inpe.br 3 4 5 alex.ovando@inpe.br | |||
| Revista | Environmental Research | |||
| Volume | 144 | |||
| Páginas | 49-63 | |||
| Nota Secundária | A1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS A1_ODONTOLOGIA A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A1_ENFERMAGEM A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A2_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A2_QUÍMICA A2_PSICOLOGIA A2_MEDICINA_III A2_MEDICINA_II A2_MEDICINA_I A2_MATERIAIS A2_FARMÁCIA A2_ENGENHARIAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A2_BIOTECNOLOGIA A2_BIODIVERSIDADE B1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III B2_ENSINO B2_EDUCAÇÃO_FÍSICA B2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA C_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2016-04-11 18:51:21 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016-06-20 11:50:19 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016 2016-06-20 16:09:36 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016 2016-07-04 12:29:59 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016 2016-07-08 16:22:55 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016 2021-03-06 05:21:29 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution | |||
| Tipo de Versão | publisher | |||
| Palavras-Chave | Amazon forest Deforestation scenarios Land cover change (LCC) model LuccME | |||
| Resumo | Tropical forests in South America play a key role in the provision of ecosystem services such as carbon sinks, biodiversity conservation, and global climate regulation. In previous decades, Bolivian forests have mainly been deforested by the expansion of agricultural frontier development, driven by the growing demands for beef and other productions. In the mid-2000s the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) party rose to power in Bolivia with the promise of promoting an alternative development model that would respect the environment. The party passed the world's first laws granting rights to the environment, which they termed Mother Earth (Law No. 300 of 2012), and proposed an innovative framework that was expected to develop radical new conservation policies. The MAS conservationist discourse, policies, and productive practices, however, have since been in permanent tension. The government continues to guarantee food production through neo-extractivist methods by promoting the notion to expand agriculture from 3 to 13. million. ha, risking the tropical forests and their ecosystem services. These actions raise major environmental and social concerns, as the potential impacts of such interventions are still unknown. The objective of this study is to explore an innovative land use modeling approach to simulate how the growing demand for land could affect future deforestation trends in Bolivia. We use the LuccME framework to create a spatially-explicit land cover change model and run it under three different deforestation scenarios, spanning from the present-2050. In the Sustainability scenario, deforestation reaches 17,703,786. ha, notably in previously deforested or degraded areas, while leaving forest extensions intact. In the Middle of the road scenario, deforestation and degradation move toward new or paved roads spreading across 25,698,327. ha in 2050, while intact forests are located in Protected Areas (PAs). In the Fragmentation scenario, deforestation expands to almost all Bolivian lowlands reaching 37,944,434. ha and leaves small forest patches in a few PAs. These deforestation scenarios are not meant to predict the future but to show how current and future decisions carried out by the neo-extractivist practices of MAS government could affect deforestation and carbon emission trends. In this perspective, recognizing land use systems as open and dynamic systems is a central challenge in designing efficient land use policies and managing a transition towards sustainable land use. | |||
| Área | CST | |||
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Deforestation scenarios for... | |||
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > CST > Deforestation scenarios for... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement |
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| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| Idioma | en | |||
| Arquivo Alvo | tejada_deforestation.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | simone | |||
| Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Permissão de Leitura | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Vinculação | 8JMKD3MGP5W34M/3GBUHCP | |||
| Repositório Espelho | urlib.net/www/2011/03.29.20.55 | |||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H 8JMKD3MGPCW/449U4PL | |||
| Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 3 | |||
| Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCOPUS. | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Controle da descrição | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| atualizar | ||||